Follow us on Twitter: @soccer_subj

November 20, 2011

SMU vs Akron: Recap, Ratings, and Stats

(I just happened to be in town for the SMU--Akron Round of 32 game and the six dollars to watch the game was worth it. Unfortunately showed up after the first twenty minutes of the game but as the score was still 0-0 I didn't feel too bad.)

The first half (from what I saw) was largely in Akron's favor. Akron was using the entire width of the field and had no trouble switching the point of attack. SMU didn't press on defense enough, which led to the first goal. Below are sophisticated pictures made in Paintbrush.

Akron's first goal:


A little foggy but I believe Luke Holmes played a wonderful bending ball low sent ball that was placed behind the defense into the corner for a racing Quinn. Ahead of the offense, Quinn slotted it back to the corner of the 18 for Yedlin who saw Mattocks with space on the backpost. A spot-on cross to Mattocks and a diving header put the Zips up 1-0. SMU had the numbers put the gave too much space for Quinn and Mattocks each. Collectively poor defending and the goalie was left helpless.



Akron's second goal:

A free kick from 28 yards out taken by senior Luke Holmes put the Zips up 2-0 with 27 minutes left in the second half. If you couldn't tell from the picture below, the wall split but the keeper still had a chance on the shot.


Akron's third goal:

Holmes was involved with the third goal as he laid off a long pass just past midfield. Mattocks used his speed and relative size to battle the Mustangs' Aaron Simmons. Inside the 18, Mattocks cut the ball back and Simmons tripped over the ball, without winning it. Left with a one-on-one, Mattocks put the ball in the side netting.


SMU's goals:

(I didn't draw up the first 'Stangs goal as I couldn't remember it clearly enough. Sorry SMU-ians.)

The third goal, scored with fourteen minutes left the Mustangs' crowd and the players deflated. But with seven minutes left the Mustangs finally cracked Akron's defense with a floated ball into a crowded 18. Tyler Engel remained composed on the ball as he took a touch then put it in the back of the net. 34 seconds later, the Engel drew a penalty kick when entered the 18. An aggressive tackle to clear the ball paved the way for a shortened 3-2 lead. An awful video of the PK:




The last seven minutes were split between Akron pushing the ball to the corner and SMU sending long, booming passes to find a rebound in the 18. As time expired, SMU managed a corner kick, something they were connecting well on throughout the game, but the clock ran out before they could take it.


Almost goals:

  • SMU had a free kick at the goalie's right corner of the 18 but made a very aware upper ninety save by tipping the ball over the bar. Not flashy but very smart.
  • Last seconds in the first half Mustangs pulled the ball down on a long counter. Alone in the 18, he took a shot that missed backpost upper ninety by inches.
  • One-on-one with SMU's keeper, Mattocks' hatrick was denied by a good angle taken by the keeper.
  • Both teams had balls bouncing around inside the 18 where the shot was ultimately hit over or right at the goalie.

Game Stats

Seen first half stats are placed next to a (projected 45 minutes in italics). Momentum graphs read right to left as the clock counts downwards in collegiate play.

Subjective Point Graphs


First Half


SMU - 31.53 (39.42)
Akron - 39.53 (49.54)


Second Half


SMU - 66.83
Akron - 58.43

Full Game

SMU - 98.37 (106.25)
Akron - 98.07 (107.98)


Momentum Graphs

First Half


Dominance

SMU - 33.3
Akron - 30.6
None - 36.1

GG Rating - 92.3

Second Half


Dominance

SMU - 26.7
Akron - 26.7
None - 46.7

GG Rating - 77.8

Final Dominance

SMU - 30.0
Akron - 28.6
None - 41.4

GG Rating - 85.0

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100

First Half
Possession
SMU - 9…44.9
(11...44.9)
Akron - 34…17.5
(43...17.5)

Passing
SMU - 10…30.4
(13...30.4)

Akron - 35…18.6
(44...18.6)


Shooting
SMU - 4…65
(5...65)
Akron - 6…30
(8...30)

Second Half
Possession
SMU - 43…22.6
Akron - 26…28

Passing
SMU - 44…25.9
Akron - 22…26.4

Shooting
SMU - 7…44.3
Akron - 11…44.5

Final
Possession
SMU - 52…26.4
(63...29.7)

Akron - 60…22
(103...20.1)


Passing
SMU - 54…26.7
(67...27.4)
Akron - 57…21.6
(101...20.3)

Shooting
SMU - 11…51.8
(16...55.9)
Akron - 17…39.4
(25...36.5)

Conclusion and End Notes

  • How Akron won: converting chances that arose from using speed against a slower squad and spreading the attack over the entire field and through every player. Dominated possession
  • How SMU lost: defensive lapses and not converting on chances (and not just saying that from a "We should have scored on every shot" sort of stance). Also had trouble connecting passes in midfield, which limited the start of their offense. Too many long balls from start to finish.
  • How Akron could lose in the future: Size is a problem with the team as they, I believe, only have no field players that are over six foot and receive regular playing time. Set pieces will be dangerous against them.
  • How SMU could have won: Using their size against Akron more. The long balls, while moderately effective, could have been even more dangerous had they implemented them better (crosses > straight long clears). Defensive marking and preventative awareness would help immensely.


Stand Out Players

Akron:

  • So. Darren Mattocks (Portmore, Jamaica) - ST - Two goals. Great speed and knows how to use his strength. Imagine a Jeff Cunningham-esque player. Off the ball, questionable.
  • So. Aodhan Quinn (San Diego, California) - RM - Showed good speed and vision. Limited playing time.
  • Fr. Scott Caldwell (Cleveland, Ohio) - CAM - The 145 pound midfielder ran hard and played aggressive yet smart defense. Frustrated SMU's back four.
  • Sr. Luke Holmes (Oldham, England) - LM - Ran up and down the field and was a major part in every goal.
  • Jr. Thomas Schmitt (Berea, Ohio) - RM - Fast, moves well off the ball, great touch.
  • Sr. Matt Dagilis (Akron, Ohio) - CB - Smart play.
  • Sr. Michael Balogun (Houston, Texas) - LB - Poised on the ball and was never ratted. Team looked confident when the ball was at his feet. Defensively sound.

SMU:

  • Sr. Payton Hickey (Plano, Texas) - LM - Came into the game late and energized the offensive with his speed and effort.
  • Jr. Ben Hill (Coppell, Texas) - ST - Poor surrounding play but his touch was great with an added bonus of creatively although not flashy. Holds his own but was clearly annoyed/disappointed with poor runs he was shown by teammates.
  • Fr. Tyler Engel (Orland Park, Illinois) - CM - Up and down. Good vision. Helped in both goals.

Akron's blue collar worth ethic will continue to advance them while SMU, with arguably better talent, showed poor cohesiveness. Both teams had "should have scored" goals so the score line is accurate this time.

Else

  • Not one offside was called in the game.
  • The field was the nicest field I've ever seen in my life.
  • At halftime the two teams' subs were warming up on the field for a few minutes. SMU players were working on 20+ yard shots and volleys while Akron was working on possession play.
Click here for a post-game interview with SMU coach and players.

November 15, 2011

USA vs Slovenia: Recap, Ratings, and Stats

The USMNT ended their scoring drought by finding the back of the net three times with goals from Edson Buddle, Clint Dempsey, and Jozy Altidore. The Americans fought through the foggy mist to gain a 3-1 lead at halftime with several players helping in the offense but had a hard time controlling the crafty Tim Matavž on the other side of the field. The game ended in Klinsmann's second win for the team but provides a nice spring board for 2012.

The game also marked Carlos Bocanegra's 100th cap with the senior squad, tying him tenth all-time with the team and is only thirteen appearances away from becoming fifth overall, leapfrogging legends Kasey Keller (102), Eric Wynalda (106) , and Claudio Reyna (112). If Bocanegra finishes through the next World Cup cycle, a strong possibility, he could finish close to third all-time. Jozy Altidore (45) and Juan Agudelo (15) stand a good chance at finishing in the top five as well being only 22 and 18 at the moment.

A video including an interview with Bocanegra on the achievement can be found here.

Subjective Point Graphs

First Half


USA - 69.77
Slovenia - 46.93

Second Half


USA - 27.97
Slovenia - 99.03


Full Game

USA - 97.73
Slovenia - 145.97

Momentum Graphs

First Half


Dominance

USA - 24.4
Slovenia - 6.7
none - 68.9

GG Rating - 66.7

Second Half


Dominance

USA - 0
Slovenia - 35.6
none - 64.4

Final Dominance

USA - 12.2
Slovenia - 21.1
none - 66.7

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100

First Half

Possession
USA - 30…26.5
Slovenia - 28…19.6

Passing
USA - 32…33.4
Slovenia - 34…17.9

Shooting
USA - 9…56.7
Slovenia - 7…52.9

Second Half

Possession
USA - 27…13.9
Slovenia - 59…19.5

Passing
USA - 29…17
Slovenia - 64…21.3

Shooting
USA - 6…24
Slovenia - 13…58.5

Final

Possession
USA - 57…20.5
Slovenia - 87…19.5

Passing
USA - 61…25.6
Slovenia - 98…20.2

Shooting
USA - 15…43.6
Slovenia - 20…56.5

Player Ratings

+7 - Dempsey - (11…9/2…90') - Typical aggressive energy and professionalism from Dempsey. Looks like getting Donovan and Dempsey on the field at the same time under Klinsmann will take some time...

+5.5 - Altidore - (10.5…8/2.5…90') - Incredibly encouraging to see him moving off the ball, playing defense, and looking to find runners over the top.

+5 - Buddle - (9…7/2…78') - Goal aside, where has Buddle been? Creative all over the field and the goal was enough luck to wow at but not enough to doubt the ability.

+5 - Howard - (7…6/1…90') - The goals were put into the corners but he was lucky to not find another goal bounce off his back from a post shot from Matavž. Another solid game Howard.

+3 - Cherundolo - (9…6/3…90') - Looked a step quicker than usual, which was encouraging, but lost shape a couple times defensively. The entire back line needs shape but Dolo is the least of their worries.

+2 - Bradley - (9…5.5/3.5…90') - Great to have him back in the middle of the field but I'm not as complimentary as others. First half he inserted himself over the field but in the second half he disappeared for too long.

+2 - Johnson - (6…4/2…61') - An early strike that really tested the goalkeeper. His willingness to work provided an encouraging game from the outside mid.

+1 - Bocanegra - (9…5/4…90') - The century-capped captain has consistently had concern with being on the complimentary pages with his counter center back. Alliterations aside, his aggressiveness breaks the back too much. What the solution is up for debate (help with the midfield, toning down his activeness, formation change...) but it's cause for attention.

+0.5 - Chandler - (8.5…4.5/4…82') - Got subbed out for another knock from moving up the field to hard. He has got to funnel his aggressiveness into

+0.5 - Shea - (2.5…1.5/1…29') - A late sub for Johnson. Still not as aware as I'd like to be on service but countered well against a pushing Slovenia team.

+0.5 - Williams - (0.5…0.5/0…8') - Late sub. Helped with the defense.

+0 - Edu - (1…0.5/0.5…12') - Late sub and the fog made it impossible to see what he did except for one shot so we'll give him an even rating to be safe.

+0 - Rogers - (0…0/0…0') - The go-getter and Klinnsman-favorite earned his understated 18th cap.

+0 - Jones - (0…0/0…0') - Definitely stalled time with his sub-in...

-1 - Beckerman - (8…3.5/4.5…90') - His value drops when he's off the ball with his defensive shape being so shakey. Slipped on his lone shot and looked silly doing so.

-1 - Goodson - (9…4/5…90') - Last of the least but not without optimism. Playing alongside Bocanegra is tough to say the least and Matavž was likely the hardest challenge for Goodson in all of 2011.

Conclusion

I'm not jumping from complaining about offensive woes to defensive woes but the defense still looks suspect, which has always been a concern dating back to and before USA's 4-2 loss to Mexico in the Gold Cup this summer. The numbers are heavily in Slovenia's favor in passing and possession for a good reason and with an aging and constantly changing back line, USA needs to figure it out fast. Up top, things are starting to progress and after five games with one goal, that's something to be excited about.

November 11, 2011

USA vs France: Recap, Ratings, and Stats

USA put forth another dismal offensive display. The few offensive contributors, Altidore and Dempsey, were left alone in creatively and lack of support from the midfield. While Howard put on another goalie clinic and continues to write the how-to book for future American goalies, the back four was in disarray for most of the entire second half. The defensive line had line to no effective communication between themselves and only Cherundolo, despite his losing speed, put up a respectable game.


Subjective Point Graphs

First Half


USA - 10.80
France - 37.10

Second Half


USA - 30.23
France - 97.17

Full Game

USA - 41.03
France - 134.27

Momentum Graphs

First Half


Dominance

USA - 0.0
France - 20.0
None - 80.0

GG Rating - 26.7

Second Half


Dominance

USA - 4.4
France - 40.0
None - 55.6

Final Dominance

USA - 2.2
France - 30.0
None - 67.8

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100

Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100


First Half

Possession
USA - 16…9.9
France - 52…11.7

Passing
USA - 21…10.1
France - 55…13.3

Shooting
USA - 3…13.3
France - 6…15.7

Second Half

Possession
USA - 31…15.9
France - 50…24.2

Passing
USA - 35…17.7
France - 48…24.8

Shooting
USA - 5…14
France - 19…38.9

Final

Possession
USA - 47…13.8
France - 102…17.8

Passing
USA - 56…14.9
France - 103…18.7

Shooting
USA - 8…13.7
France - 25…33.4

Player Ratings

+6.5 - Dempsey - (10.5…8.5/2…90') - Left alone up in the attack more times than not, Dempsey obviously became frustrated with the lack of support, which resulted in him turning the ball over more than we're expect to see from him. Did everything he could to get the offense into the 18.

+5.5 - Altidore - (10.5…8/2.5…90') - It's very encouraging to see Altidore knowing when to dribble and when to pass it off. A similar review for Altidore that Dempsey received.

+4 - Howard - (6…5/1…90') - Multiple great saves. You could tell from his poise he came ready to protect the goalmouth. The one-on-one, which is reminiscent of the second Ghana goal in the World Cup, he led a little more with his feet than his hands but given the short window to save the ball it's a little more excusable than just any kick save.

+2.5 - Beckerman - (7.5…5/2.5…66') - Didn't help with the attack but as a CDM that wasn't really his role. A little out of position sometimes, he did help get the ball into midfield. Great poise, which is more than some players can say.

+1.5 - Cherundolo - (9.5…5.5/4…90') - Held his own with one-on-one defending, which is something he's displaying for a while now. Didn't get the chance to push forward and serve balls in, which he's also used to, with Williams turning the ball over every touch.

+1 - Buddle - (1…1/0…13') - Came in late in the 77' minute and the offense responded by getting 29% of their subjective points in the 14% amount of the game he was in.

+0.5 - Edu - (7.5…4/3.5…77') - Recieved some flack for poor passing but the medicine balls he was receiving from Williams and lack of movement from the rest of the eleven didn't help. Played decent enough.

+0.5 - Johnson - (1.5…1/0.5…19') - Not a bad night for the young 23 year old. More playing time needed.

+0 - Shea - (7…3.5/3.5…71') - Sluggish and hardly inserted himself in the attack.

+0 - Jones - (2…1/1…24') - A non-factor despite getting enough playing time to be something.

+0 - Beasley - (1…0.5/0.5…19') - n/a

-1 - Bocanegra - (9…4/5…90') - His aggressiveness isn't working with lack of communication with Goodson. On the goal he misjudged the ball's bounce by a good five yards.

-1 - Chandler - (10…4.5/5.5…90') - Was looking decent until the hard challenge he received by pushing the ball too far forward. After that he looked dazed for the rest of the game. In the late minutes he was the only one of the four who missed the step on the offsides trap that almost led to a 2-0 France victory.

-2 - Goodson - (10…4/6…90') - The challenge on the Remy was embarrassing and positioning was near awful.

-2 - Williams - (7…2.5/4.5…71') - Erratic play and couldn't foresee an obvious step by a French defender. Killed the right side of the field.

November 6, 2011

Mo' Number Crunching November

(Best title I could come up with.)

While you can't judge a player after one game, you can start to get an idea of a team after five. In a very raw form, here are our main stats for the past five games:


If you're confused about the categories you can go here for some help, specifically the "Game Stats" section.

From left to right we have the respective team, their possession stats, followed by passing and shooting numbers. The last two columns are game dominance and GG rating, which isn't too tied to a team's performance but just seemed interesting to throw in.

I graphed all of five performances in each category. The results were eye-gougingly:


Just from looking at the graph you can tell that the third game, the large dip in the middle, was the weakest performance (Belgium), while the second and fourth were much better performances (Costa Rica, Honduras).

On the right you have the legend to tell you what each line is, although those are slightly misleading as I weighted each line so the graph would be tighter and not have lines 50 pts apart.

Some bends that go against the grain are the drops in passing and possession threats for USA from Mexico (game 1) to Costa Rica (game 2). Also, while lines bend down from Honduras (game 4) to Ecuador (game 5) others flatten out and a few rise. Why this happened could be for a variety of reasons, all of which I'm sure your explanation would be as good as mine. (You're welcome.) The large picture here is finding out the overall game play of America through these five games. The two low games are likely due to Mexico's legitimacy as a team and the jetlag America experienced while traveling 6000+ miles to play Belgium. And despite getting desired results, USA played well against Costa Rica, Honduras, and Ecuador. On to their opponents...


These are the five opposing squads' stats. Outside of Belgium's ridiculously high shooting points (they had thirteen shots) and Costa Rica and Ecuador's low shooting points (six and nine) there's not too much of note. Looking back at the player ratings, the defenders scored well so I'm thinking the lack of offense just heightened the Belgian attack.

On to Accumulated Player Ratings! (Again, check the stat-defs for explanation.)

+23 - Howard - (31…27/4…450')
+17.5 - Shea - (39.5…28.5/11…345')

+14.5 - Cherundolo - (32.5…23.5/9…315')

+13.5 - Dempsey - (28.5…21/7.5…270')

+12.5 - Chandler - (36.5…24.5/12…346')

+10.5 - Bocanegra - (42.5…26.5/16…432')

+10 - Altidore - (25…17.5/7.5…236')

+9.5 - Agudelo - (18.5…13.5/4…154')

+8 - Onyewu - (14…11/3…135')

+8 - Bradley - (16…12/4…142')

+8 - Donovan - (21…14.5/6.5…180')

+8 - Edu - (29…18.5/10.5…290')

+7.5 - Torres - (26.6…17/9.5…250')

+7.5 - Beckerman - (30.5…19/11.5…315')

+4.5 - Goodson - (9.5…7/2.5…90')

+4 - Williams - (13…8.5/4.5…130')

+3.5 - Rogers - (14.5…9/5.5…129')

+3 - Beasley - (8…5.5/2.5…70')

+2.5 - Jones - (6.5…4.5/2…60')

+1.5 - Spector - (5.5…3.5/2…59')

+1 - Clark - (1…1/0…6')

+0.5 - Kljestan - (2.5…1.5/1…24')

+0 - Larentowicz - (1…0.5/0.5…14')

-0.5 - Fiscal - (20.5…10/10.5…225')

-0.5 - Buddle - (6.5…3/3.5…85')

-0.5 - Ream - (2.5…1/1.5…18')

-6.5 - Castillo - (17.5…5/11.5…180')


Maybe more importantly, +/- per 90 minutes:

+/- per 90...name - (min...games)

+5.6 - Agudelo - (154…5)
+5.3 - Onyewu - (135…2)
+5.1 - Bradley - (142…3)
+4.6 - Howard - (450…5)
+4.6 - Shea - (345…5)
+4.5 - Dempsey - (270…3)
+4.1 - Cherundolo - (315…4)
+4 - Donovan - (180…2)
+3.8 - Altidore - (236…4)
+3.3 - Chandler - (346…4)
+2.8 - Williams - (130…2)
+2.7 - Torres - (250…3)
+2.5 - Edu - (290…4)
+2.4 - Rogers - (129…3)
+2.2 - Bocanegra - (432…5)
+2.1 - Beckerman - (315…4)
-0.2 - Fiscal - (225…3)
-3.3 - Castillo - (180…2)


**Players who have not played more than 90 minutes**


+15 - Clark - (6…1)
+4.5 - Goodson - (90…1)
+3.9 - Beasley - (70…2)
+3.8 - Jones - (60…1)
+2.3 - Spector - (59…2)
+1.9 - Kljestan - (24…1)
+0 - Larentowicz - (14…1)
-0.5 - Buddle - (85…2)
-2.5 - Ream - (18…1)


Howard is a standout and for good reason. Critics will hound Klinsmann for the lack of scoring but giving up five goals in five games with an ever changing defense is fairly impressive. There's nothing to surprising here if you have followed the team (although Clark's +15.0 per 90 minutes is something we can only hope he continues once he gets more than six minutes of playing time).

Project 2010 is doing something pretty neat where they average out several player ratings from multiple sources. While their name is a little dated, the initiative to pull off such a task is heart-warming for soccer statisticians (fyi: "soccer statisticians" is not a real thing).

Comparing my ratings with their findings...

Their ratings:

Howard - 0.756
Dempsey - 0.755

Donovan - 0.701

Cherundolo - 0.701

Bradley - 0.696

Shea - 0.69

Bocanegra - 0.672

Agudelo - 0.663

Altidore - 0.656

Chandler - 0.643

Edu - 0.622

Onyewu - 0.602

Torres - 0.585

Beckerman - 0.569

Rogers - 0.556

Williams - 0.532

Fiscal - 0.511

Castillo - 0.478


Weighted Rating Differences:

5.604 - Castillo
2.717 - Fiscal

1.123 - Bocanegra

0.660 - Beckerman

0.581 - Edu

0.297 - Rogers

0.182 - Torres

-0.08 - Chandler

-0.14 - Williams

-0.54 - Donovan

-0.58 - Altidore

-0.68 - Cherundolo

-0.78 - Dempsey

-0.87 - Howard

-1.16 - Shea

-1.64 - Bradley

-2.28 - Agudelo

-2.36 - Onyewu


I excluded the players who had played less than 90 minutes (looking at you, Clark!). Also, their ratings go back to right after the end of the World Cup while mine only cover the last five games. Still, I am more in favor of Onyewu, Agudelo, Bradley and Shea while I dislike Castillo, Fiscal, and Bocanegra more than the rest of the soccer society.

October 11, 2011

USA vs Ecuador: Ratings and Stats

Yet another delay. For an actual recap of the game you may wish to check here and here.

Player Ratings

+6 - Oguchi Onyewu - (10...8/2...90')
+4.5 - Tim Howard - (5.5...5/0.5...90')
+4 - Tim Chandler - (10... 7/3...90')
+3 - Michael Bradley - (5…4/1…45')
+3 - Clint Dempsey - (9…6/3…90')
+2.5 - Carlos Bocanegra - (6.5…4.5/2…72')
+2 - Juan Agudelo - (5…3.5/1.5…45')
+2 - Steve Cherundolo - (5…3.5/1.5…45')
+2 - Brek Shea - (5…3.5/1.5…45')
+1 - Jozy Altidore - (5…3/2…45')
+1 - DaMarcus Beasley - (5…3/2…45')
+1 - Maurice Edu - (5…3/2…45')
+1 - Danny Williams - (6…3.5/2.5…65')
+0.5 - Kyle Beckerman - (8.5…4.5/4…90')
+0.5 - Edson Buddle - (2.5…1.5/1…25')
+0.5 - Jonathan Spector - (4.5…2.5/2…45')
-0.5 - Tim Ream - (2.5…1/1.5…18')

Game Stats

Subjective Point Graphs

First Half


USA - 36.57
Ecuador - 13.57

Second Half


USA - 59.90
Ecuador - 32.27

Full Game

USA - 96.47
Ecuador - 45.83

Momentum Graphs

First Half

Dominance

USA - 42.2
Ecuador - 0
None - 57.8

GG Rating - 44.4

Second Half


Dominance

USA - 53.3
Ecuador - 6.7
None - 40.0

GG Rating - 82.2

Final Dominance

USA - 47.8
Ecuador - 3.3
None - 48.9

GG Rating - 63.3

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100
Team - Chance…Threat Rate/100

First Half
Possession
USA - 45…9.2
Ecuador - 19…8.7

Passing
USA - 53…14.1
Ecuador - 27…7.9

Shooting
USA - 8…26
Ecuador - 3…30

Second Half
Possession
USA - 44…19
Ecuador - 42…10.1

Passing
USA - 42…21.4
Ecuador - 50…10.7

Shooting
USA - 9…22.7
Ecuador - 4…46

Final
Possession
USA - 89…14
Ecuador - 61…9.7

Passing
USA - 95…17.3
Ecuador - 77…9.7

Shooting
USA - 17…24.2
Ecuador - 7…39.1

October 8, 2011

USA vs Honduras: Ratings and Stats

We took forever to post this recap so just modest ratings and statistics for Belgium and Honduras.

Player Ratings

+8 - Clint Dempsey - (11...9.5/1.5...90')
+6 - Jozy Altidore - (10...8/2...83')
+6 - Tim Howard - (6...6/0...90')
+5 - Brek Shea - (10...7.5/2.5...90')
+5 - Steve Cherundolo - (8...6.5/1.5...90')
+4 - Tim Chandler - (8... 6/2...76')
+3 -
Danny Williams - (7...5/2...65')
+2 -
Carlos Bocanegra - (9...5.5/3.5...90')
+2 - Oguchi Onyewu - (4...3/1...45')
+2 -
DaMarcus Beasley - (3...2.5/0.5...25')
+1.5 -
Michael Bradley - (2.5...2/0.5...25')
+1 - Kyle Beckerman - (7.5...4.5/3...90')
+1 - Maurice Edu - (6...4/2...65')
+1 - Michael Orozco Fiscal - (5...3/2...45')
+1 - Jonathan Spector - (1...1/0...14')
+0.5 - Juan Agudelo - (0.5...0.5/0...7')

Game Stats

Subjective Point Graphs

First Half

USA - 46.13
Honduras - 26.87

Second Half

USA - 40.83
Honduras - 32.90

Full Game

USA - 86.97
Honduras - 59.77

Momentum Graphs


First Half Dominance

USA - 64.4
Honduras - 4.4
None - 31.2

GG Rating - 55.6


Second Half Dominance

USA - 48.9
Honduras - 24.4
None - 26.7

GG Rating - 71.1

Full Game Dominance

USA - 56.7
Honduras - 14.4
None - 28.9

GG Rating - 63.3

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100

First Half
Possession
USA - 38...13.6
Honduras - 20...15.0

Passing
USA - 40...17.0
Honduras - 27...19.7

Shooting
USA - 7...50.0
Honduras - 4...40.0

Second Half
Possession
USA - 36...16.6
Honduras - 35...10.5

Passing
USA - 43...15.2
Honduras - 26...12.0

Shooting
USA - 6...33.3
Honduras - 9...34.4

Final
Possession
USA - 74...15.1
Honduras - 55...12.1

Passing
USA - 83...16.1
Honduras - 53...15.9

Shooting
USA - 13...42.3
Honduras - 13...36.2

September 6, 2011

USA vs Belgium: Ratings and Stats

We took forever to post this recap so just modest ratings and statistics for Belgium and Honduras.

Player Ratings

+4.5 - Steve Cherundolo - (10.5...7.5/3...90')
+4.5 - Carlos Bocanegra - (9.5...7/2.5...90')
+4.5 - Clarence Goodson - (9.5...7/2.5...90')
+4.5 - Tim Howard - (8.5...6.5/2...90')
+3.5 - Clint Dempsey - (8.5...6/2.5...90')
+3 - Brek Shea - (9...6/3...90')
+2.5 - Timmy Chandler - (9.5...6/3.5...90')
+2.5 - Juan Agudelo - (4.5...3.5/1...45')
+2 - Maurice Edu - (9...5.5/3.5...90')
+2 - Jose Torres - (7...4.5/2.5...70')
+2 - Kyle Beckerman - (5...3.5/1.5...45')
+0.5 - Jozy Altidore - (3.5...2/1.5...45')
+0 - Jeff Larentowicz - (1...0.5/0.5...15')
-0.5 - Robbie Rogers - (4.5...2/2.5...45')

Game Stats

Subjective Point Graphs


First Half

USA - 14.23
Belgium - 50.07


Second Half

USA - 24.53
Belgium - 30.17

Full Game

USA - 38.77
Belgium - 80.23

Momentum Graphs


First Half Dominance


USA - 2.2
Belgium - 53.3
None - 44.5


Second Half Dominance

USA - 15.6
Belgium - 13.3
None - 71.1

Full Game Dominance

USA - 8.9
Belgium - 33.3
None - 57.8

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100

First Half
Possession
USA - 18...7.1
Belgium - 62...10.1

Passing
USA - 21...11.3
Belgium - 59...11.5

Shooting
USA - 2...60.0
Belgium - 9...40.0

Second Half
Possession
USA - 34...8.2
Belgium - 31...13.7

Passing
USA - 43...12.6
Belgium - 42...11.8

Shooting
USA - 6...20.7
Belgium - 5...30.8

Final
Possession
USA - 52...7.8
Belgium - 93...11.3

Passing
USA - 64...12.2
Belgium - 101...11.6

Shooting
USA - 8...30.5
Belgium - 14...36.7

September 3, 2011

USA vs Costa Rica: Recap, Ratings, and Stats

15798 fans witnessed a disappointing 1-0 loss to the feet of Costa Rica in Los Angeles. The game will be remembered as a large failure for the USMNT despite some positive play that was speckled throughout the game. Unfortunately the USMNT had their cliche defensive letdown around the 65th minute and couldn't convert on a handful of chances.

US build up was centered around quick play from the CMs (Donovan, Torres) and getting the ball outside to Shea and Rogers to swing a cross in. A combination of blind-playing and Costa Rica doing a great job of shutting down floaters with aggressive air-play and stacking the box shut down the American offense for large portions of the game. On the other side of the field, US struggled defensively with positioning and communication although for most of the game Costa Rica had very little offense. However around the 65th minute USA was subject to a great offense trap-breaking run by
Saborio that eventually led to a second chance goal, after a great point-blank save from Howard, from Rodney Wallace.

The Americans take on 37th ranked Belgium on the 6th.

Player Ratings
+5.5 - Tim Howard - (6.5...6/0.5...90') - Howard's play may only be this good because of the poor defensive play. That said, he made several underrated saves. A push outside the post in the 19', a hard shot from distance and through and crowd at 47' and a push over the bar from ten yards out in the same minute. Multiple saves from headers inside the 18 in the second half he handled to the best of his ability. The fact that he even touched the goal is impressive in itself.
+3.5 - Brek Shea - (10.5...7/3.5...90') - Shea ignited the offense early with nice combination play and balls over the top but eventually he started forcing balls into a busy box that became easy clears.
+3 - Maurice Edu - (9...6/3...90') - Defensive follies came from the back line, not the CDM. Edu played no part in the offense but was strong in the middle.
+2.5 - Jose Torres - (10.5...6.5/4...90') - Not his best game by far. He's still struggling to fit into Klinsmann's offense and get on the same page with the other ten players on the field. It's encouraging that he's looking forward with every pass and he's quickly established himself as one of the more creative players on the field. Although it boggles the mind as to why he wasn't called up with Bradley but he isn't polished by any means yet.
+2.5 - Jozy Altidore - (6.3...4.5/2...63') - He's starting to look back to his CMs more instead of taking on an entire defensive line by himself but his offside calls were outrageous (four, five times...?). Field awareness needs to step up if he ever wants to score from inside the 18.
+2 - Timmy Chandler - (9...5.5/3.5...90') - Aggressive in the same offense that Bradley used with his outside backs. Chandler pressed forward but Rogers' below average game didn't harbor too many positive counters on the right side. Was catch on his heels in the transition back that set up the goal although the pass shouldn't have occurred in the first place.
+2 - Landon Donovan - (10...6/4...90') - Donovan's come under fire as of late just as Dempsey did in Gold Cup group play for not producing goals. While he did miss a fairly positive goal opportunity, he wasn't as detrimental as the back four. His one average game isn't enough to jump down his throat.
+1.5 - Juan Agudelo - (3.5...2.5/1...27') - Typical game for Agudelo. This is some speculation, but Altidore's job security isn't through the roof but Agudelo isn't threatening it. Not yet, anyway. If he continues to get his head up and figure out when to take defenders on and when to lay it off he'll be a likely candidate for Brazil 2014.
+1 - Carlos Bocanegra - (9...5/4...90') - Isn't playing well with Fiscal to his side. Both are equally aggressive which effectively makes one defender instead of two. This is two mediocre games in a row for Bocanegra largely because of his inability to play cohesively with Fiscal.
+0.5 - Sacha Kljestan - (2.5...1.5/1...24') - Didn't do nothing as some critics claimed post-game. At the very least, he played with poise inside the 18 which is not something you can say of all of starting 11.
+0.5 - Robbie Rogers - (6.5...4/2.5...66') - His poor defensive shape, even as a forward, is starting to show up. He leaves back side attacker open more times than not. Most of the offense came through the left side for a reason. He showed some flashes with attempted connections with Altidore but delayed passes negated goal scoring chances because of offside calls.
-2 - Michael Orozco Fiscal - (8...3/5...90') - Hasn't made a case for himself in these last two games. Not as near as shakey as...
-3 - Edgar Castillo - (9...2.5/5.5...90') - I agree with the sentiment that you can't judge a player on one game... but you can start to get an idea of 3 hours of playing time.


Game Stats

Subjective Point Graphs


First Half

USA - 40.10
Costa Rica - 16.73


Second Half

USA - 44.37
Costa Rica - 36.37

Full Game

USA - 84.47
Costa Rica - 53.10

Momentum Graph


First Half Dominance
USA - 45
Costa Rica - 4
None - 51

GG Rating - 40/100


Second Half Dominance
USA - 49
Costa Rica - 22
None - 29

GG Rating - 67/100

Full Game Dominance

USA - 47
Costa Rica - 13
None - 40

GG Rating - 53

Numbers

***Example Category***
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100
Team - Chances...Threat Rate/100

First Half
Possession
USA - 39...13.7
Costa Rica - 10...11.8

Passing
USA - 46...15.8
Costa Rica - 21...9.1

Shooting
USA - 4...51.0
Costa Rica - 3...64.0

Second Half
Possession
USA - 52...10.7
Costa Rica - 24...19.5

Passing
USA - 59...12.2
Costa Rica - 31...15.0

Shooting
USA - 8...34.5
Costa Rica - 4...65.0

Final
Possession
USA - 91...12.0
Costa Rica - 34...17.2

Passing
USA - 105...13.8
Costa Rica - 52...12.7

Shooting
USA - 12...40.0
Costa Rica - 7...64.6

Conclusion

The only player that could have seen the pitch that didn't would be Larentowicz but the CMs weren't playing any worse than Larentowicz would have likely played. And while I'm not a big fan of the back four sometimes, subbing them out for unfresh legs wouldn't exactly be ideal. Klinsmann is doing the best with what he has and the loss isn't on him as much as it is on the players on the field. However defensive positioning wouldn't be a bad idea for training sessions.

August 20, 2011

MLS Castrol Ratings

(If you haven't heard about MLS Castrol Index I suggest you check it out before continuing on in the article. Long story short, it just rates a player's performance 0-10.)

There's a pretty interesting computerized rating system aimlessly floating around. I say aimlessly because it's putting out a lot of information and I have yet to see any real use of it outside of comments like, "Well this exists...". I did find two articles that were bold to do more than just present a link to the website. The second article had an intriguing point about how the Castrol Index discounts a midfielder's importance in games and ratings.

The website is incredibly disappointing in more than one way. The presentation is nothing more than a copy-and-paste result with bare minimum information. Sorting by position, or listing position at that, would be nice. Nationality would be an added plus. Player profiles, club profiles... There's a lot that could be added to bolster the Index and maybe gain some credibility, which would be great because statistics in soccer are awful and untrusting enough already.

All that aside, sometime around the 14th week of season I copied the information into an Excel document. I actually had completely forgotten I had did this so it was a bit of a treasure chest. A treasure chest for a stat-loving pirate. Anyway, I weighted the players' ratings by the minutes played and did some more mathematics to find a club's overall rating.

Club, Club's Rating, Games Played

LAG 7.84 15.0
NYRB 7.77 12.0
SSFC 7.73 14.0
FCD 7.65 12.9
HOU 7.51 13.0
CHIV 7.51 10.9
COLU 7.41 11.0
COLO 7.14 12.9
PHI 7.14 11.0
RSL 7.14 9.0
PORT 7.13 11.0
CHIC 7.04 11.0
SJ 6.93 11.0
NE 6.86 12.0
TORO 6.80 12.9
VAN 6.75 11.9
DC 6.69 11.0
KC 6.44 8.9

You'll notice errors in the numbers like "8.9 games played" but I think we can just chalk that up to minor players not getting put in the ratings. But it shouldn't affect the overall rating too much so I think we're safe.

Complying the new information the same way we get...

FCD 7.19 22.4
LAG 6.66 22.9
NYRB 6.37 22.3
SSFC 6.37 23.0
CHIV 6.36 21.9
COLU 6.30 23.0
RSL 6.26 18.9
HOU 6.16 20.0
COLO 6.06 23.8
CHIC 6.02 17.0
KC 6.01 20.8
PHI 5.94 18.7
PORT 5.69 21.6
SJ 5.60 22.2
NE 5.46 20.7
DC 5.29 21.2
VAN 4.87 20.6
TORO 4.55 22.2

A big drop off is apparent, not to mention clubs playing 22.2 games. The club ratings dropped an average 1.24 points overall. Toronto FC specifically went from a 6.8 to a 4.55. That means in the 9.3 game span (10 games, in reality) Toronto played a collective 1.4. Yikes. This isn't impossible to believe as they've been outscored 24-11 in the gap. But, amongst others, Alen Stevanovic, the 20 year old Swiz for Toronto FC is missing from the list. I had him tacked down at a 6.54 at 700 minutes after 13 games. (Currently he has been recalled back from his loan to Torino.) There are a handful of players who aren't on the list that have been on previously weeks so the gaps in numbers are somewhat explained.

Regardless, the bigger point is that there is a lot of potential in the Index that the MLS hasn't tapped into. Hopefully they're looking into something long term and just haven't announced anything at the moment, fairly typical MLS, but there's a good chance the MLS will take years to do anything with this.

But with this being a US-focused blog, I put in the hard-work to Wikipedia all the players' nationality and find the top 25 American players on the list.

Rank...Player...Age...Club...Caps with USMNT

1 Landon Donovan - 29 - Los Angeles Galaxy 136
2 George John - 24 - FC Dallas 0
3 Nat Borchers - 30 - Real Salt Lake 3
4 Chance Myers - 23 - Sporting Kansas City 0
5 Omar Gonzalez - 22 - Los Angeles Galaxy 2
6 Ugo Ihemelu - 28 - FC Dallas 2
7 Chris Wondolowski - 28 - San Jose Earthquakes 5
8 Brek Shea - 21 - FC Dallas 3
9 Chad Marshall - 26 - Columbus Crew 11
10 Danny Califf - 31 - Philadelphia Union 23
11 Jeff Parke - 29 - Seattle Sounders FC 0
12 Matt Besler - 24 - Sporting Kansas City 0
13 Geoff Cameron - 26 - Houston Dynamo 1
14 Sheanon Williams - 25 - Philadelphia Union 0
15 Drew Moor - 27 - Colorado Rapids 5
16 Mike Magee - 26 - Los Angeles Galaxy 0
17 Eddie Gaven - 24 - Columbus Crew 8
18 Bobby Boswell - 28 - Houston Dynamo 3
19 Nick LaBrocca - 26 - Chivas USA 0
20 Justin Braun - 24 - Chivas USA 0
21 Cory Gibbs - 31 - Chicago Fire 19
22 Zach Loyd - 24 - FC Dallas 1
23 Ned Grabavoy - 28 - Real Salt Lake 4
24 Heath Pearce - 27 - Chivas USA 32
25 Tim Ream - 23 - New York Red Bulls 6